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This is all based on electric rates, which are extremely high out here as well. So it may take longer to recover in a part of the country that has very inexpensive electricity, and a less than 12 month season.
Wes Burdine said:
I noticed you are located in CA. Do these customers run year-round, so 12 x $300 = 3,600?
Wes Burdine said:
Great that you were an early adopter, sorry if I misread where you were coming from.
Regarding the motor efficiency argument, we have done realistic calculations that show that the difference between a 90% efficient motor (only the Intelliflo can claim this super high efficiency due to its permanent magnet rotor), and a very worst case single phase motor at 65% efficiency, means that at $0.25 per kWh, it would equate to $40 per year. Clint, I would be happy to share more info with you privately.
I think you would agree with the phylosophy of 'run it slower, run it longer'. In your web site, you indicate that a person shouldn't expect that running the pump for twice as long as at full speed gets you back to where you started (I agree).
So, if you had a 20,000 gallon pool and wanted to turn it over once per day, you really only need, out of an 80 gpm full speed pump, 11 hours at 23 gpm (15,180 gal) and one hour at 80 gpm (4800 gal). If we used a VFD, we could achieve 23 gpm at approx 30% of the full speed. The Affinity laws indicate that our energy (at the low speed) would be 0.3 x 0.3 x 0.3 = 0.027 or 2.7%.
So, using the same numbers in your message (2 HP at $0.36 per kWh), our new energy scenario cost would be for a full 12 month period:
(2 x 0.746 x 0.027 x 0.36 x 11 x 365) + (2 x 0.746 x 0.36 x 1 x 365) = $254 per year
versus single speed (running for 6 hours):
(2 x 0.746 x 0.36 x 6 x 365) = $1,176
versus 2 speed and where a 50% speed was run for 11 hours and full speed for 1 hour (using the suggested numbers from your web site):
(2 x 0.746 x 0.125 x 0.36 x 11 x 365) + (2 x 0.746 x 0.36 x 1 x 365) = $465
So, no doubt, both options offer significant savings over single speed (we can at least agree on that point).
I think we could also probably agree that homeowners would expect to own their pools for several years (so let's say 7). The VFD savings over the 2 speed are therefore 7 x $211 = $1,477. OK, now we get to your argument about installed cost. I think we could also agree that a $2,000 solution is a tough sell versus 2 speed. However, the Eco-Flow will be nothing close to this number and while I'm not willing to publically broadcast its price (for obvious reasons), I can tell you that it may well surprise you if we ever get to agree that it's worth looking at. I welcome competing against a 2-speed solution at the numbers you suggested - even if it means adding a 3 phase motor.
Clint, you mention that you have installed other VFD solutions, how did you ever justify them to the homeowner, versus 2 speed if they were $2,000? You must be a heck of a sales guy!
Clint Combs said:
It seems from your response that you misunderstand where I am coming from. I am one of those early adopters that you wrote about. I have been selling variable speed and two-speed pumps for years. I understand the affinity law from both a theoretical perspective and a practical perspective and am not challenging it. I also understand that all motors are not the same efficiency. You seem reluctant (for marketing reasons?) to admit that this makes a significant difference.
Allow me to try to clarify my economic question. If I can replace a single speed motor with a two-speed motor and compatible two-speed timer for around $1100 retail, and if this will cut my customer's electric bill from $1200 a year to $450. In five years with the two-speed (including installion price) my customer will spend a total of $3350 as compared to spending $6000 if they did nothing. Details of my cost calculations are on my website.
Compare this to an IntelliFlow installed with an IntelliCom2 on a Jandy RS system for about $2000 retail and an annual energy usage of about $320. In five years the total cost is going to be $3600 versus $6000 if they did nothing.
Now, let us assume I used an Eco-Flow on an old pump that has maybe 50% of its motor life left. In five years time, I will likely have to replace this motor, so to figure my total five year cost I have to add the cost of the Eco-Flow with installation, the cost of a "two event timer" (per your data sheet), a prorated cost of a replacement motor and installation that went out say 2.5 years after I installed the Eco-Flow. If the Eco-Flow gives me a similar return as either the two-speed or the IntelliFlow -- since both follow the same affinity law and receive the same benefit from them, then in order for the Eco-Flow solution to deliver the an equivalent ROI, the Eco-Flow with installation would have to be priced at about 1/2 the price of the two-speed motor. If I can buy a two speed motor for $250 and it takes me 1.5 hours to install the Eco-Flow (your datasheet estimates 1-2 hours) and I charge $95 per hour for the installation, then that means that the the Eco-Flow would have to be priced at $250 - $95x1.5 = $107.50.
I suspect that the Eco-Flow is a lot more than $100. If it is, then it doesn't seem give an acceptable ROI.
For purposes of my calculation, I am assuming that my customer started with a single speed 2hp pump running 6 hours a day and paying for electricity that costs 36 cents per kwh. I know this is high for a base, but here in So.Cal., Running a pool will kick up your energy usage over that base price to a tier 3 or 4. Cutting down usage also means not getting into these high tier pricing. I estimate my cost for variable speed / two speed filtration so that I still achieve the same turnover as before, but have a much longer run time.
While I agree that the answers to your questions would be valuable to us all, I think the real world practicality of any company (even one as large as Pentair), in conducting the necessary tests would be tough. With every test result there would be another scenario thrown up, i.e., how do the results look with 3" pipe versus 2" pipe, how with 15 x 90 degree elbows versus 10, a Hayward pump versus a Pentair. Again, without wishing to repeat myself, we're missing the point here, the energy savings have little to do with one motor versus another, premium efficiency versus standard efficiency, Hayward pump versus Pentair. The argument for variable speed vs fixed or 2 speed is clear and only bought into question when the solution costs the homeowner more money than makes sense in terms of an ROI. I will give you an example, if the homeowner is in northern MI and he runs his pump for just 4 months of the year and his utility costs him $0.10 per kWh, then not even a 2 speed solution would give him an acceptable ROI. On the other hand, the S.CA customer paying $0.32 per kWh and running 10 months per year has an overwhelming ROI argument. I don't know where your company operates from but maybe this is what is influencing your reluctance towards variable speed.
At the end of the day Clint, although Emotron was the founding father of VFD's almost 35 years ago, we didn't invent the
Affinity laws - those are scientific facts that relate to centrifugal loads and no manufacturer or customer can deny or influence their reality.
I was interested to see Rex's comments regarding Ray Cronise and Steve Barnes, both of whom I hold in the highest regard. Ray is one of the most brilliant scientists in the world when it comes to hydaulics and he told me some time ago about the incredible savings they had seen when testing the Inteliflo - while still getting an excellent turnover rate of the pool. We have now seen this ourselves and can attest that it far exceeds anything that can be realized with a 2 speed solution.
Clint, there will be early adopters and those who come along later, at the end of the day, the pool industry will catch up with what industrial pump users have been experiencing for many years - process control and huge energy savings. You will not find many 2 speed pumps being used in industry today and almost zero anywhere in Europe (who were on the green bus long before we were).
Clint Combs said:
I believe that you can answer a few questions to clear up our discussion. Would you please compare for us:
1.) the energy consumed by a single phase PSC motor running at 50% using the Eco-Flow to:
2.) the energy used by a standard two-speed running on low (induction motor on low)?
3.) the energy used by the New E-Plus Centurion (with Energy Efficient capacitor-run low speed)?
4.) the energy used by an IntelliFlow VS3050 operating so as to give the same flow?
5.) the energy used by a three phase motor running at 50% using the Eco-Flow 1:3?
Well put regarding the discussion referring to 2 speed vs variable. I too see the significant difference in energy savings. This is what the variable solution is all about.
I would appreciate anyone's input regarding "real life" energy savings where a client has changed from single or 2 speed to a variable speed.
My whole point in the initial posting was to promote a cost efficient solution with state of the art pool application technology.
Somehow it has moved to 2 speed vs variable speed.
I don't understand why you see the Eco-Flow 1:1 as a 'temporary' solution. Even if the pump / motor should fail down the road, there's no reason why a new single phase replacement motor / pump combo couldn't be used. Nowhere in our pre-launch data sheet do we say or suggest that when this event occurs, you should change to a 3 phase motor and therefore change the Eco-Flow to 1:3. Indeed, the only recomendation we make in this regard is that if, at the initial install, the motor is not a PSC type, the motor should be replaced with a 3 phase version. As in my earlier posting, this is suggested for ecconomical reasons in terms of the Eco-Flow cost rather than motor efficiency differences. If our data sheet is misleading, we need to change it.
Regarding the discussion on the 2-speed versus Eco-Flow install costs, as I said, both will need a controller but the Eco-Flow will not need the 2 speed contactor whereas the 2-speed has to have this in order to work. Again, this topic is missing the real point, a 2-speed arrangement will not give the homeowner anywhere near the energy savings of variable speed. So, even if a VFD solution is marginally more expensive than 2-speed, the ROI is significantly better.
Clint, if I'm not explaining this topic clearly, I certainly apologize for that. I don't see this as a subject of promoting Eco-Flow over other Variable Speed solutions (this is not, and should not be a forum for that), it's more of a topic about variable speed over 2 speed. If the Intelliflo argument is winning over many new customers - I see an alternative lower cost solution as having at least an equal argument.
Paul Anthony Hackett said:
I am by any means an expert on the Eco-Flow; I do however understand the Affinity laws. This is why I see a considerable benefit to the Eco-Flow. With the costs of Pentair's Intelliflow ranging from $1,200 - 1,700 (a quick Google search), this seems to be very cost effective for my customers.